Gedmin, Jeffrey
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"(To Err Is Human) To Predict, Not So Divine" [Our predictions about politics and world affairs rarely seem to work out - but there are good reasons to keep trying] in "The American Interest [Washington, D. C.],29 December 2018. Refers to Stefan Zweig's biography The World of Yesterday and his relationship with Karl Haushofer before Haushofer became a friend of Adolf Hitler. See: https://www.the-american-interest.com/2018/12/29/to=predict-not-so-divine